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Can law really curb greenhouse gases?

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Can law really curb greenhouse gases?

In 2024, the country took a decisive step to secure its future, establishing an independent ministry dedicated squarely to climate change, a move that had been quietly gathering momentum for years but finally crossed the finish line that year. When the Law on the Structure of the Government was amended, the Ministry of Environment and Tourism shed its old skin and was reborn as the Ministry of Environment and Climate Change (MECC). It was not simply a change of nameplate on the door. The rebranding carried real institutional weight, signaling that climate change had graduated from being a side concern tucked under the environment portfolio to a standalone priority commanding its own seat at the policymaking table. 

That shift opened the door to something Mongolia had long needed: the capacity to plan and coordinate a genuinely national policy on reducing greenhouse gas emissions and building resilience to a warming world, one that could reach across sectors as varied and as vital as the environment, agriculture, mining, and energy. These are not abstract categories on a policy chart. They are the backbone of the nation’s economy and the livelihood of its herders, farmers and workers, all of whom stand exposed on the front lines of a changing climate, from shifting pasturelands to increasingly erratic weather patterns. Having a dedicated ministry meant, for the first time, that these sectors could be brought under one coherent strategic umbrella rather than pulling in different directions. The timing was no accident, either. Around the world, the drumbeat of sustainable development and green transition has grown louder and more urgent by the year, with nations racing to decarbonize, adapt, and future-proof their economies. By establishing MECC, Mongolia made clear it did not intend to sit on the sidelines and watch this global wave roll past. Instead, it chose to wade in, positioning itself as an active participant in a conversation that will shape economies, trade and diplomacy for decades to come.

At its heart, though, this was never simply about institutional housekeeping or keeping pace with global trends for appearance’s sake. It was about substance. By creating an independent policy institution, Mongolia signaled its intent to honor, in practice and not just on paper, the obligations it had undertaken through international agreements and conventions aimed at mitigating climate change and curbing greenhouse gas emissions. It was, in essence, a down payment on a promise, a way of proving that the country’s commitments carried the force of law and institutional backing behind them, not just good intentions.

More than two years later, that promise has matured into something concrete. In particular, the first ever law on climate change, a milestone that has reshaped the country’s legal environment and given regulators, businesses and communities alike a clear framework to work within. With its passage, Mongolia became the 70th country in the world to adopt standalone legislation governing climate change, joining the ranks of nations that have chosen to meet this defining challenge of our time not with vague pledges, but with the weight and permanence of law.

Climate change respects no borders, and increasingly, no country’s legal code is complete without addressing it. Nearly every nation that has signed onto the Paris Agreement, the landmark international treaty on climate action, has folded the issue into its domestic legislation in one form or another. The numbers tell their own story of how dramatically the landscape has shifted: before 2000, the world had barely 60 laws and legal acts touching on climate change. Today, that figure exceeds 3,000, according to a report by the Grantham Research Institute at the London School of Economics (LSE).

Mongolia’s own law will soon take its place in that global record. It is set to be formally entered into the Grantham Research Institute’s online database of climate change legislation in early 2027, once it comes into force on January 1 next year. In the intervening six months, regulators face a full plate of work: drafting the accompanying regulations, preparing institutions for the transition to a new legal system and pinning down the financing mechanisms that will make the law more than words on paper. Call it the fine print behind the headline. Only once that groundwork is laid will the law’s real impact begin to show, so next year is when we will see what this legislation can actually deliver. Parliament has now given its blessing to the first draft of the Climate Change Law, following a path that began when the Government submitted the bill on May 21 and Parliament gave its final approval at a plenary session on May 2. 

The timing of this legislative push is no coincidence, and two forces in particular have driven it home. First is the approaching 17th Conference of the Parties to the United Nations Convention to Combat Desertification, which Mongolia will host next month. Hosting a global summit on desertification and land degradation while lacking dedicated legislation to rein in the very forces driving those problems would have been, to put it plainly, a credibility gap too glaring to ignore. A country cannot credibly convene the world to discuss a crisis it has not moved to legislate against at home. Second, and perhaps more pressing, is the ticking clock on Mongolia’s Paris Agreement commitments. Under its Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC), we have pledged to cut greenhouse gas emissions by 23 percent by 2030 using our own resources, a figure that climbs to 30.3 percent by 2025, and could reach as high as 52.8 percent with international funding and technical and technological support. In just four years, the world will take stock of what Mongolia, and every other signatory, has actually delivered toward the shared goal of holding global warming to within 1.5 degrees Celsius. The countdown, in other words, is already running. Which raises the question at the heart of this new law: what difference will it actually make? Spanning nine chapters and 32 articles, the Climate Change Law sets out to regulate a wide sweep of relationships, from emissions reduction and adaptation planning to financing and institutional accountability. What exactly those provisions cover, and how they will reshape the approach to climate policy, is where the real story begins.

First, the law paves the way to build a proper greenhouse gas inventory and monitoring system, and the logic behind it is refreshingly simple: you cannot manage what you cannot measure, and you cannot measure what you refuse to track. Only by establishing a realistic, reliable picture of exactly how much greenhouse gas the country emits can the country hope to bring the problem under control and design measures that actually work. To that end, the plan is to gradually roll out a unified MRV (measurement, reporting, verification) system built to international standards, complete with the legal scaffolding to support it. Under this new “glass box” system, enterprises and industrial operators will be required to report the greenhouse gases generated by their activities on a regular basis and log them in a single, centralized database, a shift expected to bring a welcome dose of transparency to a space that has long lacked it.

Second, the law lays the legal groundwork to become a serious player in the global carbon market. Headlines about countries pocketing sizable sums from carbon markets, or companies cashing in on carbon credit sales, have become increasingly familiar in recent years. A carbon credit, in essence, functions as a permit to emit one ton of carbon into the atmosphere, not unlike a permit to harvest timber. Such credits are awarded when a company carries out an environmentally friendly project or absorbs carbon from the atmosphere before it can contribute to warming, and the credit holder can then sell that permit to other businesses that need to offset emissions exceeding their allotted quota. The marketplace where these credits change hands is what’s known as the carbon market. With the Climate Change Law now in place, local businesses will have a clear path to monetizing their emissions reductions and environmental work, trading their gains on both domestic and international carbon markets.

Third, the law establishes a framework to attract green financing and investment. Climate change, as a truly global challenge, is one that countries are tackling collectively, leaning on mutual assistance and shared resources rather than going it alone. In that spirit, the law sets out to build a financial architecture capable of drawing in both foreign and domestic investment, backing private sector green projects, and clarifying the institutional pathways for securing long-term, concessional loans and grants from major global bodies such as the Green Climate Fund. Among its more technical provisions, the law lays out detailed criteria for a “green taxonomy,” a classification system determining which projects qualify as genuinely green and eligible for financial support and guarantees. It also empowers the Government to channel financing from international donor organizations to businesses through commercial banks, in the form of financial guarantees and concessional loans.

Fourth, the law places real emphasis on stepping up both adaptation and mitigation efforts. Climate change cannot be stopped outright, but its intensity can be blunted, its pace slowed, and its damage minimized, much like preparing for the rainy season not by trying to stop the rain, but by making sure you can weather it without harm. It’s this thinking that has led countries around the world to treat mitigation and adaptation as two sides of the same coin, tackling them in tandem rather than in isolation. Mongolia has taken the same approach, weaving climate resilience into infrastructure planning across agriculture, cities, and settlements, the sectors most exposed to climate risk, while introducing a new framework known as cross-sectoral coordination for risk reduction. The law also enshrines the legal obligation to update and implement its Nationally Determined Contribution every five years, fulfilling the commitment the country made under the Paris Agreement.

The record elsewhere offers a preview of what’s possible. Countries with independent climate change laws have made tangible headway on cutting emissions, developing carbon markets, accelerating the shift to renewable energy, and rooting adaptation solutions in local, nature-based approaches. Britain, Germany and New Zealand, for instance, have driven down greenhouse gas emissions by building a “carbon budget” into their climate framework laws and setting up independent expert committees to keep governments honest and on track. Developing nations have shown similar ingenuity. For instance, Chile has legislated the phase-out of coal-fired power plants while successfully introducing carbon taxes and green bonds, and countries across the Sahel region have revived traditional soil conservation practices with legal backing, boosting crop yields by 16 to 30 percent in the process.

All of this raises the question that will ultimately determine whether this law is remembered as a turning point or a missed opportunity: can Mongolia actually implement its first ever climate change law and deliver the kind of results that the UK, Germany, New Zealand, Chile and the nations of the Sahel have shown are possible? A law, after all, is only as strong as the will behind its enforcement. History offers no shortage of examples, in Mongolia and elsewhere, of ambitious legislation that read beautifully on paper but withered on contact with implementation, starved of funding, technical capacity, or political follow-through. The Climate Change Law now faces that same test.

The stakes could hardly be higher for a country in Mongolia’s position. An extraordinary 76.8 percent of the nation’s land area is degraded by desertification to some degree, a statistic that is not an abstraction but a lived reality for herding families watching pastures thin, water sources shrink, and dust storms grow more frequent and severe. It sits among the countries most exposed to climate change, caught between an unforgiving continental climate and an economy still deeply tied to land, livestock and natural resources. For a nation in this position, climate legislation is not a box to tick to satisfy international partners or polish the country’s image ahead of hosting global summits. It is a matter of economic survival and social stability, touching everything from herder livelihoods to food security to the long-term habitability of the countryside itself.

That is precisely why implementation, not passage, is where the real work begins. Strictly enforcing the greenhouse gas inventory and the multi-sectoral MRV system will be the first true test of whether this law has teeth or is destined to become another well-meaning document filed away and quietly forgotten. Without accurate, consistently reported data on emissions across every sector, from mining to energy to agriculture, policymakers will be navigating blind, and any claims of progress will remain just that: claims, not verified results. Building institutional capacity, training the technical personnel needed to run these systems, and securing the financing to sustain them over the long term will matter just as much as the letter of the law itself.

Yet within this challenge lies real opportunity. If Mongolia can chart the green transition wisely, using the legal tools this law now provides, and if it can generate meaningful carbon credits through nature-based solutions such as large-scale pasture restoration and afforestation, the benefits would extend well beyond environmental protection alone. Done right, this could become a genuine engine of sustainable economic growth, one that turns the vast open landscapes and traditional land stewardship practices into assets in the global carbon economy rather than casualties of climate change. Sahel’s experience, where revived traditional soil conservation methods pushed crop yields up by 16 to 30 percent, offers a glimpse of what is possible when legal frameworks and traditional ecological knowledge are allowed to work in tandem rather than at odds.

 

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